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Italian jets shoot down drone over Lithuania as tensions rise on NATO’s eastern flank

Two Italian Eurofighters neutralized a drone that violated Lithuanian airspace, putting Rome on the front line of NATO’s eastern-flank defense. The incident comes as new tensions with Moscow mount from Poland to Denmark

ROME — Two Italian Eurofighters shot down a drone that violated Lithuanian airspace, putting Italy directly at the center of NATO’s response to a new incursion on the Alliance’s eastern flank as tensions with Russia continue to mount.

The Italian Air Force F-2000s, deployed as part of the “Baltic Thunder III” Air Task Force, were scrambled late yesterday, intercepted the unmanned aircraft and neutralized it in accordance with NATO procedures, Italy’s Defense Ministry said.

Why it matters: The drone’s origin has not yet been confirmed. NATO sources cited by the Italian Defense Ministry said it is suspected to be Russian, while the Alliance and Lithuanian authorities are investigating.

  • It is the second incident in a month involving Italian fighter jets deployed on NATO’s eastern flank, according to the Defense Ministry.
  • The shootdown comes as Defense Minister Guido Crosetto is touring the eastern flank, with stops in Poland, Latvia and Lithuania following a visit to Bulgaria.
  • And it comes amid a broader period of tension, with hybrid activity and Russian rhetoric increasing pressure along NATO’s eastern and northern perimeter.

Zoom in: Italy over Lithuania. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda announced that a drone that entered the country’s airspace overnight had been “quickly shot down by NATO fighter jets,” without initially identifying which ally’s aircraft were involved.

  • Italy’s Defense Ministry later confirmed they were Italian Air Force Eurofighters.
  • According to Lithuanian national broadcaster LRT, citing the National Crisis Management Center, the drone came down in a rural area near Lake Kaunas in central Lithuania.
  • “As Russia intensifies its aggression against Ukraine, such preparedness is vital for our region,” Nauseda wrote. “Together with our NATO allies, Lithuania will defend its airspace.”
  • Lithuanian Foreign Minister Kestutis Budrys also thanked the allies, saying that “NATO remains vigilant, committed and ready.”

The Italian angle. The incident coincides with Crosetto’s eastern-flank tour and gives the Italian government a concrete example of the operational value of the country’s military deployment in the region.

  • “It is also because of incidents like this that the presence of our military personnel on the eastern flank is fundamental to guaranteeing collective security,” Crosetto said.

Crosetto’s trip. The minister is visiting Poland, Latvia and Lithuania for institutional meetings and visits to Italian contingents. “Today I will be there alongside them to convey the support of the government and of Italy and to thank them, on behalf of Italians, for the valuable work they do,” he added.

  • The operational detail matters: this time, Italian Eurofighters did not simply identify an aircraft or escort it away from NATO airspace. They intercepted and neutralized a drone that had already violated the airspace of an Alliance member.

Zoom out: pressure around NATO The Lithuanian incident is not isolated.

  • Denmark said a Russian frigate fired two signal rockets toward a Danish military helicopter conducting a routine mission to photograph the ship in international waters. According to the Danish military, the rockets narrowly missed the helicopter. Copenhagen said it would summon the Russian ambassador over the incident.
  • Further east, Nikolay Patrushev, an adviser to President Vladimir Putin, directly threatened Poland. Responding to remarks attributed to Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski about Warsaw’s ability to defeat Moscow in a potential conflict, Patrushev said Russia would use “its entire arsenal of available forces and resources” and that the Polish state would “cease to exist within two or three days.”
  • Russia’s Defense Ministry also released footage of a new drone strike on the Ukrainian border crossing at Yahodyn, in the Volyn region bordering Poland. Moscow says its strikes on Ukrainian border crossings are aimed at disrupting overland routes used to supply military aid.
  • Meanwhile, in the Netherlands, suspected sabotage of railway tracks caused major disruption to train services. There is currently no evidence linking the incident to tensions with Russia, but it comes after months of sabotage incidents or suspected hybrid activity across several European countries, including Italy, with origins and responsibility to be assessed on a case-by-case basis — and as local extremist groups increasingly connect and interact, more or less directly, with actors in countries hostile to the West.

The big picture: Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia regularly record drone incursions into their territory. On May 19, a NATO fighter shot down a Ukrainian drone over Estonia, the first interception of a foreign drone in the skies of a Baltic state by NATO air policing since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in 2022.

What we’re watching: The drone’s origin remains to be established and, for now, its suspected Russian provenance is just that: a suspicion.

  • Meanwhile, the growing number of incidents and threats around NATO raises the risk of escalation, even as a diplomatic channel remains open: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio are due to meet in New York to discuss Putin’s war in Ukraine.

The bottom line: For Italy, the shootdown over Lithuania makes tangible a reality often more visible in Vilnius or Warsaw than in Rome: defending NATO’s eastern flank is not a distant issue. Italian Eurofighters are already an operational part of it.

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