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The Arctic loop: why Italy and Japan are turning North

The Arctic is no longer a distant periphery; it’s a key geopolitical and environmental junction. Italy is stepping into the arena, partnering with Japan through diplomacy, scientific cooperation, and geoeconomic connectivity—a multidimensional engagement in the High North

No longer a remote region. A series of high-level events in Rome—including “Arctic Connections 2025. Space in the Arctic” and the bilateral seminar “Italy and Japan: Common Perspectives in the Arctic”—have signalled Italy’s deepening Arctic interest.

  • Both were co-hosted by the Sasakawa Peace Foundation (SPF), the Italian Society for International Organization (SIOI), the Italian Navy, and other partners.
  • Fabrizio Bozzato, a researcher at the Ocean Policy Research Institute of SPF and a key figure in organising both events, told Decode39, “The Arctic is a geopolitical and environmental hinge point—where maritime flows, climate change, strategic postures, and national ambitions converge.”

Italy’s Arctic ambitions. Rome’s intentions go beyond science diplomacy.

  • The Italian government is preparing for the “Arctic Circle Rome Forum – Polar Dialogue” in January 2026.
    • The forum will be a key step in boosting Italy’s role as a second-tier yet diplomatically relevant Arctic stakeholder —a status it shares with Japan.
  • “Italy and Japan may not be Arctic states, but they’re acting with growing coherence and purpose,” Bozzato noted.
    • “Not just because of their long-standing tradition of scientific cooperation, but also their willingness to contribute to alternative forms of governance and cooperation.”

Zoom out. Italy’s Arctic diplomacy fits a broader strategic realignment in a fragmented world order.

  • Japan has proposed the Blue Infinity Loop—an integrated maritime governance model that sees the Arctic as a central pivot in a connected oceanic system.
  • “It’s not an isolated region,” Bozzato explained. “It’s a twisted point where maritime flows, climate change, and shifting alliances intersect.
  • This view can influence Italy’s maritime policies across the Indo-Mediterranean and into the Pacific.”

State of play. Italy’s strategic positioning mirrors Japan’s—both countries aim to act as “connectors” in a possible new Arctic diplomatic geometry.

  • “A more inclusive platform could restore space for innovative diplomatic solutions,” Bozzato said.
  • “Actors like Italy, Japan, India, or even Singapore—capable of blending scientific diplomacy, economic logic, and multilayered soft power—are increasingly central.”

Between the ice. Bozzato frames Italy–Japan cooperation as a prototype for “ocean diplomacy.”

  • “Italo-Japanese collaboration can become a laboratory of ocean diplomacy,” he said.
  • “One that doesn’t seek perimeter strength through blocs, but relational strength through connections.”

What we’re watching. Also, India’s Arctic strategy is shifting—hinting at a pivot from Moscow toward Nordic and EU partners (Italy?).

  • The India Forum on the Arctic will be a litmus test for New Delhi’s intentions in the coming days.
    • Its outcome could define how—and with whom—India will engage in the future Arctic order.
  • Italy’s Arctic turn, in sync with Japan’s vision and potentially India’s trajectory, reflects a broader shift: the rise of medium powers in shaping new, fluid, and more inclusive polar governance—not through dominance, but through connection.

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