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Meloni links Pope and Erdoğan to revive Ukraine talks

The Italian Prime Minister is playing a multi-dimensional chessboard of diplomacy by enlisting Leo XIV as a moral broker and the Turkish President as a strategic intermediary in a Vatican-hosted bid to restart Russia-Ukraine peace talks, securing early support from Washington and Brussels but still awaiting Moscow’s commitment to convene in June

All roads lead to Rome. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is quietly working on a complex diplomatic initiative to restart peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.

  • The initiative involves the Vatican as host, Pope Leo XIV as a moral broker, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan as a strategic intermediary.
    • It has backing from the United States, with President Donald Trump reportedly raising the idea of Vatican-hosted Russia-Ukraine talks during the Monday call with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin.
  • The European Union is also watching closely.
    • On Sunday, Meloni hosted a meeting in her office between US Vice President JD Vance and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen—a clear signal that Rome is positioning itself as a bridge between transatlantic powers (and the Holy See).

Decoding the news. This multi-dimensional diplomacy marks a rare convergence of religious authority, transatlantic coordination, and realism on global affairs.

  • With traditional diplomatic channels exhausted, Meloni’s vision could open an unexpected path to de-escalation—but only if Moscow signals a credible willingness to engage.

Looming a just and lasting peace. On a Monday call, Meloni reportedly discussed the Vatican-hosted negotiations with Pope Leo XIV, who has expressed readiness to facilitate a two-step process: first humanitarian, then political.

  • Italian government sources describe the Vatican’s offer as “generous and free of preconditions.”
  • Meloni also coordinated closely with US and EU leaders, securing preliminary support from Washington and Brussels.
  • Erdoğan, whose NATO military strength and unique ties with Kyiv and Moscow make him indispensable, is considered a key figure in the talks’ Istanbul track.

What they’re saying. A senior Italian diplomat told Italian newspaper Avvenire that the Vatican’s role would be a “facilitator,” not a lead negotiator.

  • The Kremlin remains sceptical, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirming that “no decision has been made” and that Moscow has not received any “specific mediation proposal” from the Holy See.
  • Kyiv, while cautious, sees potential in the effort, particularly if it leads to the release of prisoners and the protection of civilians.

A new Rerum Novarum? The initiative comes as Pope Leo XIV reasserts a more structured Vatican diplomacy, moving away from the ad hoc gestures of Pope Francis’s era.

  • Vatican Secretary of State Cardinal Pietro Parolin is back at the helm, working alongside Cardinal Matteo Zuppi, already active in humanitarian efforts related to the war.
  • For Erdoğan, who brokered the first grain deal in the Black Sea, the talks offer a chance to reinforce Turkey’s regional influence while maintaining its delicate neutrality.

What we’re watching. Meloni’s step-by-step diplomacy seeks to bridge the conflict’s geopolitical, religious, and humanitarian dimensions.

  • Italy and the others are working to manage a June meeting, but Moscow’s buy-in is crucial if the idea does not gain traction.
  • The feasibility of a new round in Rome, after the Istanbul one last week, hinges on Putin’s willingness to participate—a significant unknown given recent Russian missile strikes and rising battlefield tensions.

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