Home » Italy’s strategic comeback, explained by Zeneli
Politics World

Italy’s strategic comeback, explained by Zeneli

An analysis by Valbona Zeneli, advisory board member of Decode39, published on The National Interest, argues that Italy has quietly but decisively re-emerged as a relevant geopolitical actor in a fragmented international system.

Italy’s renewed international standing is not accidental. According to Zeneli, it rests on a combination of political stability, clear geopolitical choices, and a growing ability to link foreign policy, security, and economic strategy.

Key Takeaways:

  • Italy has filled strategic gaps in Europe:
    • In a context marked by uncertainty in several major European capitals, Rome has enhanced its visibility and credibility by consistently acting on Ukraine, NATO commitments, and transatlantic alignment.
  • Foreign policy is now tightly linked to strategic connectivity:
    • Italy’s support for initiatives such as IMEC and its recalibration of ties with China reflect a broader effort to reduce dependencies while positioning the country as a hub between Europe, the Mediterranean, and the Indo-Pacific.
  • Economic credibility underpins geopolitical ambition.:
    • Lower sovereign risk, record exports, rising foreign investment, and strong US-Italy economic ties provide the material foundation for a more assertive and reliable Italian role on the global stage.

A symbolic quote: “2025 has been tough for all of us, but don’t worry — next year will be much worse,” Meloni said yesterday, speaking with Palazzo Chigi’s team ahead of the Christmas holidays.

Why it matters: Zeneli’s analysis fits into a broader intellectual effort to interpret Italy’s evolving role in global affairs. She is also the author of [Over]Views, a regular Decode39 column that brings together international experts to examine key foreign policy and geopolitical issues affecting Italy — from transatlantic relations to the Mediterranean and the Indo-Pacific.

The bottom line: Italy’s current trajectory suggests a shift from reactive diplomacy to a more integrated strategic posture — one that could shape European and transatlantic debates if sustained over time.

Subscribe to our newsletter