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Italy’s upside from the EU–India trade deal

The EU–India free trade deal offers Italy a strategic boost, opening new space for industrial, technological and economic cooperation with one of the world’s fastest-growing markets. For Rome, the agreement is less about tariffs and more about positioning Italian companies along a key global growth corridor.

Why it matters: The EU–India free trade agreement, whose final phase was launched at Tuesday’s summit in New Delhi, is not just a Brussels win. For Italy, it opens a concrete window to scale industrial, technological and strategic cooperation with one of the world’s fastest-growing economies.

The big picture: European leaders and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to move decisively toward finalising the long-negotiated FTA, reframing trade as a pillar of strategic partnership.

  • For Rome, the deal fits squarely into a broader push to diversify markets, de-risk supply chains and project Italian industry beyond mature Western economies.

By the numbers: A recent report by Deloitte circulating among policymakers estimates that the EU–India agreement could unlock around €2 billion in additional opportunities for Italian companies, building on an already substantial bilateral economic relationship.

Where Italy benefits most:

  • Advanced manufacturing: Italy’s strength in machinery, automation, industrial components and high-value manufacturing aligns closely with India’s push to expand and upgrade its industrial base.
    • The FTA lowers barriers and makes Italian firms more competitive as long-term industrial partners, not just exporters.
  • Infrastructure and urban development: India’s rapid urbanisation creates demand for transport systems, construction solutions, engineering services and sustainable materials.
    • Italian firms are well placed to move up the value chain, offering integrated design and engineering expertise rather than stand-alone products.
  • Energy, bioeconomy and sustainability: Cooperation in renewables, energy efficiency, green chemistry and pharmaceuticals stands to benefit from a more predictable trade and regulatory framework.
    • For Italy, this also supports diversification of critical supply chains within a European context.
  • Digital and tech ecosystems: The agreement is expected to facilitate cooperation in digital services, advanced technologies and skills-intensive sectors.
    • For Italian companies, this opens the door to partnerships, joint ventures and deeper integration with India’s talent-rich technology ecosystem.

What Italy is saying: Italy’s ambassador to India, Antonio Bartoli, has framed the EU–India FTA as a test case for a different European approach to global trade.

  • Speaking ahead of the summit, Bartoli said Rome hopes the agreement will be built on an agenda that is “ambitious, mutually beneficial and future-proof,” stressing that reliability, trust and complementarity are the foundations of the India–EU partnership.
  • Europe’s method, he argued, is peer-to-peer and cooperative — a win-win logic based on persuasion and shared interests rather than a transactional, zero-sum approach.

Between the lines: For Rome, the EU–India FTA is less about short-term export gains and more about positioning Italian industry along one of the most dynamic growth corridors of the global economy.

  • It complements Italy’s European and transatlantic ties rather than replacing them — adding strategic optionality at a time of global economic fragmentation.

What to watch: How quickly Italian firms translate the new framework into concrete projects, partnerships and investments — and whether Rome can align trade diplomacy, industrial policy and economic diplomacy to fully capture the deal’s upside.

(Photo: X, @narendramodi)

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